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举世关注的美国经济经历了72个月的持续增长,在这80年代的最后一个年头里,会不会出现衰退?美元利率是升是降?针对这些问题,我们根据有关研究资料,对美国经济发展动向作一简单分析。大选后美国经济增长势头未减有人担心美国经济在1989年可能出现衰退,主要根据有三:一是据美国的M—2货币的供应与市场利率变化规律预测。自从1987年3月,美国的M—2货币供应已大幅度减缩,市场利率亦随之一步步上升,除1987年10月因股灾令利率急跌外其后又上升。根据美国历年统计资料分析,通常市场利率上升两
The U.S. economy, which has been paying attention to the world for a long time, has gone through 72 months of sustained growth. Will there be a recession in the last year of the 1980s? Will the interest rate increase or decrease in the United States? To address these issues, we analyzed the U.S. economy A simple analysis of development trends. Economic growth in the United States after the general election unabated Some people are worried about the U.S. economy may decline in 1989, mainly based on three aspects: First, according to the US M-2 currency supply and market interest rate changes forecast. Since March 1987, the M-2 money supply in the United States has been significantly reduced. As a result, market interest rates have risen step by step since then, rising again thereafter except in October 1987 when the rate of interest rates plunged. According to the statistics of the United States over the years, the market interest rate usually rises by two