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近年来,城市旅游呈现出蓬勃发展之势,对于城市旅游竞争力的定性研究相对较多,定量研究较少,因此定量研究城市旅游竞争力既有理论价值,又有实践意义。本文在前人研究的基础上,构建了城市旅游竞争力的评价指标体系模型,并运用SPSS20软件进行了因子分析和趋势预测。研究发现GDP总量、人均GDP、生活垃圾无害化处理率、人口密度指数、图书馆数量、A级旅游景区数量等六个因素对城市旅游竞争力有重要影响,根据这些影响因素进行的趋势预测结果显示长三角入境旅游在未来一个时
In recent years, urban tourism has shown a flourishing trend. There are a lot of qualitative research on urban tourism competitiveness and few quantitative studies. Therefore, quantitative research on urban tourism competitiveness has both theoretical value and practical significance. Based on the previous researches, this paper constructs the evaluation index system model of urban tourism competitiveness and makes use of SPSS20 software to carry on factor analysis and trend forecasting. The study found that the six factors such as total GDP, per capita GDP, innocuous treatment rate of living garbage, population density index, number of libraries and the number of A-class tourist attractions have an important impact on the competitiveness of urban tourism. According to the trend of these factors Forecast results show that the Yangtze River Delta inbound tourism at a time when