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期待可能性理论在西方已经有几百年的发展历史,并且已经趋于完善和成熟,但是在我国的研究还仅仅是一个开端,但是社会发展又迫切需要期待可能性理论的关注,本文试通过一个经典的案例入手,逐步探讨期待可能性理论的起源、含义并结合我国古代的“亲亲相隐”制度和新刑事诉讼送法确定的“亲亲得相隐匿”的作证规则,来探讨在我国当下的法治视野下研究期待可能性的的必要性。
However, the research in our country is only a beginning, but the social development urgently needs to look forward to the possibility theory of probation. This paper tries to approve the possibility theory. A classic case study begins with a discussion of the origin and meaning of the theory of expectation probabilities and the testimony rules of “relatives and relatives” established by the ancient Chinese system of “kissing and intimacy” and the new criminal procedure , To explore the necessity of studying the possibility of expectation under the current rule of law in our country.