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在我国,地产业一直是人们的热议对象,它也关系着我国的经济发展。但自2010年开始,人们便预测房市会面临崩盘的风险,事实也证明了近几年地产业的发展波动相当大。本文通过以上背景,使用时间序列对我国地产股上市公司2010—2013年间的风险进行分析,并计算出地产股贝塔系数为1.13,这说明地产业的系统风险水平要比整体市场风险水平稍高。结合实际情况,本文紧接着分析了地产股主要存在有哪些风险,对地产股风险内容进行分析评价。
In our country, the real estate industry has always been the hot subject of people, and it is also related to our country’s economic development. However, since 2010, people have predicted the housing market will face the risk of collapse. Facts have proved that the development of the real estate industry has been quite volatile in recent years. Based on the above background, this article uses the time series to analyze the risk of listed real estate companies in China from 2010 to 2013 and calculates the beta of real estate stocks as 1.13, which shows that the systemic risk level of real estate industry is slightly higher than the overall market risk level. Combined with the actual situation, this article is followed by an analysis of the real estate stocks there are the main risks, the risk analysis of real estate shares content.