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在经济转轨时期,我国居民消费领域存在最终消费率偏低、消费需求不足、政策难以启动等现实问题。为全面、科学分析我国居民消费特征,找出影响居民消费需求的关键因素,本文运用按照收入分组的时间序列——横截面数据构建我国城镇居民的消费函数。计量分析结果表明,提高居民收入水平,尤其是提高中等及以下收入居民的收入水平,缩小收入差距,是启动当前消费需求的关键因素。
In the period of economic transition, there are some realistic problems such as the low final consumption rate, the insufficient consumer demand and the difficult start of policies in the area of household consumption. In order to comprehensively and scientifically analyze the characteristics of residents’ consumption in our country and find the key factors affecting the consumption demand of residents, this paper constructs the consumption function of urban residents in China by using time series-cross-sectional data of income groups. The results of econometric analysis show that raising the income level of residents, especially raising the income level of residents with incomes of middle and lower incomes and narrowing the income gap, is the key factor in starting current consumer demand.