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一、98年煤炭需求预测 97年煤炭消费呈负增长,煤炭消费量的减少,直接反映了转变经济增长方式的成果,考虑到97年诸因素在今后一个时期里还将继续发挥作用,特别是在降能降耗方面,潜力还很大。总体来看,98年的煤炭消费量增加不大,将大致维持在97年的实际水平上,即在13.5亿吨到14亿吨之间。加上对煤炭进出口因素的考虑(大约出口3000万吨,进口300万吨),总需求量约为13.8亿吨到14.1亿吨。
I. Forecast of Coal Demand in 1998 Negative growth of coal consumption in 1997 and reduction of coal consumption directly reflect the outcome of transforming economic growth mode. Considering that the factors in 1997 will continue to play a role in the coming period, especially in the There is still great potential for reducing energy consumption. Overall, the 98-year coal consumption increase is not large and will generally remain at the actual level of 97 years, that is, between 1.35 billion tons and 1.4 billion tons. Coupled with the import and export of coal considerations (about 30 million tons of exports, import 3 million tons), the total demand of about 1.38 billion tons to 1.41 billion tons.