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10月19日,世界银行发布的最新报告认为,预计2010年中国经济增速为9.5%。明年则有望下降到8.5%。但通胀率有所上升,预计今年的居民消费价格达到3.7%。世界银行认为,导致如此高的通胀原因主要是输入性通胀因素,比如国际原材料价格的上升,以及国内农产品价格上升的影响。但也出现一个新的情况,即中国劳动力市场价格出现拐点,制造业劳动力成本上升,使得通胀上升。不过考虑到劳动力市场的灵活性,短期内出现工资引发的螺旋性通胀上升,还不
On October 19, the latest report released by the World Bank believes that China’s economic growth is expected to be 9.5% in 2010. Next year is expected to drop to 8.5%. However, the inflation rate has risen and this year’s consumer price is expected to reach 3.7%. The World Bank believes that the reasons for such high inflation are mainly input inflation factors such as rising international prices of raw materials and the impact of rising domestic agricultural prices. However, there has also been a new situation where the inflection point in China’s labor market and inflated labor costs in manufacturing industry have caused inflation to rise. However, taking into account the flexibility of the labor market, spiraling inflationary wage-induced spirals in the short term do not