拉美阿根廷危机的传染效应

• 作 者: 江时学
• 机 构: 中国社科院拉美所 副所长
• 出 处: 瞭望新闻周刊
• 发表日期: 2002年29期
• 关键词: 阿根廷人 传染效应 拉美经济 拉美地区 经济增长速度 拉美国家 南美洲国家 国际社会 三重 美国经济

去年12月,阿根廷陷入了史无前例的三重危机,即经济危机、政治危机和社会危机。在危机爆发前,国际社会担心,如果阿根廷危机波及其邻国巴西,整个拉美地区的经济增长速度就会放慢,因为巴西的经济总量占整个拉美地区的1/3以上;而一旦拉美经济受影响,美国经济的复苏就会被推迟。然而,当时阿根廷危机产生的“探戈效应”似乎并不明显,国际投资者松了一口气。

Last December, Argentina was plunged into an unprecedented triple crisis, namely an economic crisis, a political crisis and a social crisis. Before the crisis broke out, the international community was worried that if the crisis in Argentina affected its neighbor Brazil, the economic growth in the entire Latin American region would slow down as Brazil’s economy accounted for more than one-third of the total in Latin America; and once the Latin American economy Affected, the U.S. economic recovery will be postponed. However, the “tango effect” at the time of the Argentine crisis did not seem obvious, and international investors were relieved.