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国际贸易的开展,给我国环境带来了巨大的挑战。文章通过加入环境要素的国际贸易模型进行理论分析,并利用30个省区的贸易、排放等数据进行实证检验,得到了以下几个结论:发达国家通过出口非环境密集型商品、进口环境密集型商品将排放转移到发展中国家,使排放跨境转移;2008年我国净出口内涵排放量为11.875亿吨,占国内总排放量的14.84%,我国通过国际贸易成为CO2净出口国;“污染避难所”假说在我国成立,一省平均对外依存度高于20%就有极大可能沦为“污染避难所”。
The development of international trade has brought enormous challenges to the environment of our country. Through the theoretical analysis of adding the international trade model of environmental factors and using the data of trade and emissions of 30 provinces and autonomous regions for empirical test, the following conclusions are drawn: The developed countries, through exporting non-environment-intensive commodities and importing environment-intensive Goods will be transferred to developing countries so that their emissions will be transferred across borders. In 2008, the net amount of net exports in China was 1,187.5 million tons, accounting for 14.84% of the total domestic emissions, and our country became a net exporter of CO2 through international trade. Shelter “hypothesis was established in our country, the average foreign dependency of a province higher than 20% there is a great possibility that reduced to” pollution shelter. "