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近年来,我国钢铁行业的产能过剩问题日益突出,供需矛盾不断扩大,钢铁价格持续走低,企业亏损现象严重,国内钢铁行业的低迷使得国际钢铁行业也受到了巨大的冲击,我国钢铁行业的竞争力也在不断下降。本文通过建立古诺模型对我国钢铁企业之间产量决策过程进行了相关博弈分析,包括一次性静态博弈分析以及无限次重复博弈分析,从而得出了各企业不断扩大产能的内在机理(即各博弈方的决策心理)和外在影响(即通货膨胀的影响),同时根据分析结果简要提出了相关建议。
In recent years, the problem of overcapacity in China’s steel industry has become increasingly prominent. The contradiction between supply and demand has been constantly expanding. The price of steel has been on the decline. The loss of enterprises is serious. The downturn in the domestic steel industry has also caused huge impact on the international steel industry. Keep falling. In this paper, through the establishment of Cournot model, the game analysis of output decision-making among Chinese steelmakers, including one-time static game analysis and infinite repeated game analysis, Side of the decision-making psychology) and the external impact (ie, the impact of inflation), at the same time based on the results of the analysis briefly put forward the relevant recommendations.