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结构升级将继续是未来十年经济发展的主要特征。未来十年消费率将快速上升,将由目前的50%上升到2023年的60%以上,相应的投资率将不断下滑,到2030年将下滑到35%左右。未来十年服务业占比将从目前的46%上升至2023年的57%左右,相应农业和第二产业的比重将有所下滑。2014年经济处于合理区间,风险累积2014年,GDP增长7.4%,经济运行仍处在合理区间。2012年以来,经济运行在下行趋势中避免了大起大落,为各类市场主体有序转型创造了较好的宏观环境。
Structural upgrading will continue to be the main feature of economic development in the coming decade. The consumption rate will rise rapidly in the next 10 years, from the current 50% to more than 60% in 2023, the corresponding investment rate will continue to decline, and it will decline to 35% by 2030. The proportion of service industry in the next 10 years will rise from the current 46% to about 57% in 2023, and the proportion of corresponding agriculture and secondary industry will decline. In 2014, the economy is in a reasonable range with cumulative risk. In 2014, GDP grew 7.4% and the economy is still in a reasonable range. Since 2012, the economic operation has avoided the ups and downs in the downward trend and created a good macro-environment for the orderly restructuring of various market players.