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随着社会文明的进步和科学技术的发展,科学的社会功能大大增强,人们有能力对所研究的领域进行预测,并开始把预测作为一门范围很广的综合性科学来研究,创造了许多成熟的预测方法。社会未来预测、科学预测、经济预测以及军事、文化、教育等方面的预测,越来越引起人们的注视。八十年代以来,尤其是八六年底至八七年初波及全国、影响范围很大的高校学潮之后,人们开始认识到,探索学生突发事件的预测方法,是实现思想政治工作科学化所必须解决的一个问题。
With the progress of social civilization and the development of science and technology, the social function of science has been greatly enhanced. People have the ability to predict the fields they are studying and have started to study the prediction as a comprehensive scientific science, creating many Mature prediction method. The forecast of social future, scientific prediction, economic forecasting and military, cultural, educational and other aspects are drawing more and more attention. Since the 1980s, especially from the late-1986 to early 1987, the wave of university-wide influence that has spread across the country has led people to come to realize that the method of predicting student emergencies is necessary to realize the scientific and ethnical work of ideological and political work A problem