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2011年是全球经济形势极为复杂和关键的一年,美国经济缓慢复苏但比预期目标艰难,日本受地震及核泄漏事件冲击经济复苏充满不确定性,欧盟债务危机阴影不断,新兴经济体尽管保持了前进的趋势,但正饱受通胀压力。通过分析错综复杂的因素和关系,可初步得出2011年新兴经济体的强劲增长仍是主旋律,通胀将在全球范围内进一步蔓延。中国经济在主动调控的作用下,增速可能将继续稳中趋于回落,总体仍将保持在正常区间,经济结构调整和经济发展方式的转变持续推进。
2011 is an extremely complicated and crucial year for the global economic situation. The slow recovery of the U.S. economy is more difficult than expected. Japan is subject to uncertainties due to the impact of the earthquake and its nuclear leakage on the economic recovery. The EU debt crisis has been shaded. The emerging economies, despite their steady Ahead of the trend, but is suffering from inflationary pressures. By analyzing the intricacies and relationships, we can initially conclude that the strong growth of emerging economies in 2011 is still the main theme and that inflation will further spread on a global scale. Under the active regulation and control of China’s economy, the growth rate will likely continue to decline steadily and will remain generally in the normal range. The structural changes in economic restructuring and the changes in the mode of economic development will continue to move forward.