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煤炭作为我国重要能源之一,其价格受经济水平、资源禀赋、发展阶段等诸多因素的影响,随着煤炭行业的供给侧改革,对其价格影响因素的探讨成为煤炭市场研究的热点。本文首先分析了我国煤炭价格的整体走势,并从理论上对煤炭价格的影响因素进行了分析,然后采用灰色综合评价法进行了实证分析,并通过灰色聚类得出市场内部供需方面和市场外部方面两大类影响因素,研究发现我国煤炭价格以市场机制调节为主,且受经济增速影响较大。最后为我国煤炭行业供给侧改革和煤炭行业的发展提出了政策建议。
As one of the important energy sources in our country, the price of coal is affected by many factors, such as economic level, resource endowment, development stage and so on. With the reform of the supply side of the coal industry, the discussion on the influencing factors of its price has become a hot topic in the coal market. This paper first analyzes the overall trend of coal price in our country, and analyzes the influencing factors of coal price theoretically. Then, it uses gray comprehensive evaluation method to make an empirical analysis, and obtains the internal supply and demand and external market Aspects of the two major types of factors, the study found that China’s coal prices to market-based regulation, and greater impact on economic growth. Finally, it puts forward policy suggestions for the supply side reform and coal industry development in China’s coal industry.