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根据福建省典型样本村的跟踪调查,在理论分析的基础上,利用Tobit模型实证分析了集体林权制度改革后农户林地经营规模变动的影响因素。结果显示:农户间林地经营规模的变动差异较为明显;变动差异主要来源于劳动力和资金因素;林业经营预期和砍伐限额制度对农户林地经营规模变动影响显著。在此基础上提出加大对林农的资金扶持;鼓励林权流转,创新林业经营体系;优化砍伐限额制度的对策建议。
According to the follow-up survey of typical sample villages in Fujian Province, on the basis of theoretical analysis, the Tobit model is used to empirically analyze the influencing factors of the change of farmers’ forestland management scale after the reform of collective forest ownership system. The results showed that the difference in the scale of forest management among farmers was obvious. The difference mainly came from labor force and capital. The forestry management expectation and the cutting quota system had a significant impact on the change of farmers’ forest land management scale. On the basis of this, it is proposed to increase the financial support for forest farmers; to encourage the circulation of forest rights and to innovate the forestry management system; and to make suggestions on how to optimize the system of cutting quotas.