论文部分内容阅读
目的评估2014年6月国内外突发公共卫生事件及需要关注传染病的风险。方法根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(直辖市、自治区)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果根据既往历史数据分析,结合近期全国突发公共卫生事件形势,预计2014年6月全国突发公共卫生事件数与5月持平或略有下降,报告事件将以手足口病、流行性腮腺炎、风疹、水痘等传染病为主,其次为食物中毒事件;近期多地发生登革热输入病例,既往发生过登革热流行或暴发的地区尤应加强防控工作。人感染H7N9禽流感将维持在较低水平。中东呼吸综合征存在输入病例的风险,但发生大规模疫情的可能性较低。西非埃博拉病毒病疫情近期有所上升,但传入我国的风险仍为低,输入病例导致该病在我国本土化和大范围播散的可能性极低。结论 2014年6月全国突发公共卫生事件与5月持平或略有下降;需重点关注手足口病和中东呼吸综合征,一般关注人感染H7N9禽流感、埃博拉病毒病以及食物中毒。
Objective To assess the public health emergencies at home and abroad in June 2014 and the need to pay attention to the risk of infectious diseases. Methods According to the reports of domestic and foreign public health emergencies and the monitoring of key infectious diseases, the expert consultation method was adopted to invite experts from provincial (municipalities and autonomous regions) CDC to participate in the assessment through video conferencing. Results According to the historical data analysis and the recent situation of public health emergencies in the country, it is estimated that the number of public health emergencies in China will be the same or slightly lower than that in May 2014, and the reported events will be HFMD, Mumps , Rubella, chickenpox and other infectious diseases, followed by food poisoning incidents; recent cases of dengue fever occurred more than the incidence of dengue epidemics or outbreaks in the past, especially should strengthen prevention and control work. Human infection with H7N9 bird flu will remain low. Middle East respiratory syndrome has the risk of imported cases, but is less likely to have a large-scale outbreak. In recent years, the epidemic situation of Ebola virus disease in West Africa has been on the rise but the risk of transmission to our country is still low. The incidence of this disease is extremely low in the localization and wide-spread in China. Conclusions The nationwide public health emergency in June 2014 was at the same level as or slightly decreased from May. Focusing on hand-foot-mouth disease and Middle East respiratory syndrome should be given priority. People with H7N9 avian influenza, Ebola virus disease and food poisoning are generally concerned.