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本文应用区域规划系统工程理论对吉林省森工系统进行了结构、功能系统分析,采用了一种新方法确定森工系统的生态,经济和社会的综合效益。这种方法不但可以对森工企业,森工系统的经营成果及其发展状况做出全面、客观、公正的评价,而且可以克服当前流行的“专家调查法”等一类方法所带来的主观决断误差。应用现代控制理论,以区域森工系统的长远规划目标即以本文建立的衡量森工系统生态、经济和社会的十四种指标为决策变量,以综合效益指标为控制,通过电子计算机运行仿真,建立了区域森工系统发展动态控制模型。采用吉林省森工系统2000年发展规划数据,绘出其发展的最优轨线及其应采取的发展战略。
This paper applies the theory of regional planning system engineering to the structural and functional analysis of the forest industry system in Jilin Province and adopts a new method to determine the ecological, economic and social benefits of the forest industry system. This method can not only make a comprehensive, objective and fair evaluation of the operation results and development status of forest industry enterprises and forestry systems, but also overcome the current popular “expert investigation method” and other methods The subjective decision error. Applying the modern control theory, taking the long-term planning goal of the regional forest engineering system as the decision-making variable, which is established in this paper to measure the ecological, economic and social factors of the forest engineering system, taking the comprehensive benefit index as the control and running simulation through the electronic computer, Established a dynamic control model of regional forest industry system development. Using the data of Jilin Province forest industry system 2000 development plan, draw the optimal trajectory of its development and the development strategy it should adopt.