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亚洲金融危机对世界石油市场的影响主要表现在以下方面:1.亚洲石油需求下降,世界石油需求增势减缓.预计1998年,亚洲石油需求将出现10年来的首次负增长,比1997年减少17万桶/日。世界石油需求增长量将由上年的近200万桶/日降至90万桶/日。2.世界石油市场供大于求的状况更加严重。3.油价暴跌,欧佩克和非欧佩克石油收入下降,给石油输出国的国民经济造成严重的影响。4.亚洲地区一次炼油能力出现过剩,炼油利润进一步下降。预计1999年世界石油需求可能会缓慢增长,但增长幅度将主要取决于亚洲的经济形势。总的来说,1999年世界石油市场仍将是供大于求,石油价格将继续在低位徘徊。
The impact of the Asian financial crisis on the world oil market is mainly reflected in the following aspects: 1. As the oil demand in Asia declines and the world oil demand slows down, it is forecasted that for the first time in 10 years the demand for oil in Asia will fall negatively in 1998, a decrease of 170,000 over 1997 Barrels / day. The world oil demand growth will drop to 900,000 barrels / day from nearly 2 million barrels / day last year. 2. The situation of oversupply in the world oil market is even more serious. 3. Oil prices plummeted, OPEC and non-OPEC oil revenues decline, the oil-exporting countries have a serious impact on the national economy. 4. In Asia, there is an excess of refining capacity and the refining profit further declines. The world oil demand is expected to grow slowly in 1999, but the rate of increase will mainly depend on the economic situation in Asia. On the whole, the world oil market will remain oversupplied in 1999 and oil prices will continue to hover at low levels.