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湖北省城乡居民消费结构趋向合理、消费水平日趋饱和,但城乡居民消费差异明显。本文运用ELES模型分析得出,湖北省城乡居民消费水平和消费结构都存在较大差异;运用协整检验模型和误差修正模型,得出城乡居民的人均消费水平差距与城乡居民的人均可支配收入差距、政府的财政支出水平以及城乡居民的生产总值差异存在着长期协整关系;当短期变动偏离长期均衡时,将以0.27的调整力度拉回到均衡状态来。故应当充分调动农村居民的消费积极性,改善农村居民的消费结构,缩小湖北省城乡居民的消费水平和消费结构差距。
Consumption structure of urban and rural residents in Hubei Province tend to be more rational with the consumption level becoming more and more saturated. However, there are obvious differences in consumption between urban and rural residents. In this paper, ELES model analysis shows that there is a big difference between urban and rural residents ’consumption level and consumption structure in Hubei Province. By using the cointegration test model and error correction model, we can draw the conclusion that urban-rural residents’ per capita consumption level gap and per capita disposable income of urban and rural residents There is a long-term cointegration relationship between the government’s fiscal expenditure level and the difference in GDP between urban and rural residents. When short-term changes deviate from long-term equilibrium, they will be pulled back to an equilibrium state with a 0.27 adjustment. Therefore, it is necessary to fully mobilize the enthusiasm of rural residents for consumption, improve the consumption structure of rural residents, and narrow the consumption level and consumption structure gap between urban and rural residents in Hubei Province.