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运用文献资料法、数理统计法和逻辑分析等方法,对近7届夏季奥运会亚欧美洋各体育强国所获奖牌情况进行比较和分析,结果发现:无论是金牌实力还是奖牌实力,美中俄已经成为坚固的三足鼎立的第一集团。美国的优势依然较为明显,中国优势项目表现突出,俄罗斯还在积蓄力量,三强拼争的局面将继续维持。德英澳实力雄厚,牢固占据第二集团。英国的奥运实力在急剧增长,潜实力明显,有望冲击第一集团;德国在经历坎坷后必定有后发制人的实力;在激烈的竞争下澳大利亚奥运实力虽有微小削弱,但其实力不容怀疑。韩日具有明显的优势项目,其奥运实力稳定徘徊在第二集团末第三集团首,短时间内虽不会有质的提高,后面的国家想冲击他们也是很困难的。
By means of literature review, mathematical statistics and logical analysis, the author compares and analyzes the medals won by the athletes in Asia, Europe and the United States in the past seven Summer Games. The results show that the United States, Russia, Russia, Russia, Become a sturdy three pillars of the first group. The advantages of the United States are still obvious. The outstanding advantages of China are outstanding. Russia is still accumulating strength. The situation of the top three will continue to be maintained. Germany, Australia and Australia are strong and firmly occupy the second group. Britain’s Olympic strength is increasing rapidly with obvious potential and is expected to impact the First Group. Germany, after its ups and downs, must have a post-striker strength. Despite the slight weakening of the strength of the Olympic Games in Australia under intense competition, its strength can not be questioned. As the strength of the Olympic Games hovers at the head of the third group at the end of the second group, there will be no qualitative improvement in a short period of time. The latter countries would also like to attack them with great difficulty.