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将突变理论引入到煤与瓦斯突出危险性预测的研究中,进行了将突变理论和模糊数学结合的突变级数法进行突出预测的研究,从而构建了煤与瓦斯突出危险性预测的评价模型。基于突变理论的煤与瓦斯突出危险性的预测研究,综合考虑了不同指标对突出危险性的影响程度,通过实例分析计算表明,该方法预测结果能较好地与实际相吻合。
The catastrophe theory was introduced into the research of coal and gas outburst danger prediction, and the catastrophe theory combining catastrophe theory and fuzzy mathematics was used to make a prominent prediction study. Thus, the evaluation model of coal and gas outburst risk prediction was constructed. Based on the catastrophe theory, the prediction of the coal and gas outburst danger is considered, and the impact degree of different indexes on the outburst danger is considered. The example analysis shows that the predicting result of this method is in good agreement with the actual situation.