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本文以江苏省2005年7月至2010年12月的数据为样本,基于毕肯戴克—罗宾逊—梅勒茨条件重新检验了汇率变动与江苏省进出口贸易的关系。结果显示,江苏省进口、出口需求及出口供给均富有价格弹性,出口供给的价格弹性值最小;对出口需求影响最大的是国外的物价水平,其次是国外的收入水平,最小的是出口价格;地区产出能力对出口供给的影响要远大于出口价格;地区物价水平对进口的影响最大,其次是进口价格。相对而言,地区收入的影响最小,基本可以忽略不计;江苏省进出口贸易满足毕肯戴克—罗宾逊—梅勒茨条件,产出高速增长等非价格因素是人民币升值而贸易收支未受影响的主要原因。
Based on the data of Jiangsu Province from July 2005 to December 2010, this paper re-examines the relationship between the exchange rate changes and the import and export trade of Jiangsu Province based on the conditions of the Binkenkirchen-Robinson-Melatitz. The results show that both import and export demand and export supply in Jiangsu Province are rich in price elasticity and the price elasticity of export supply is the smallest. The most important impact on export demand is the foreign price level, followed by the foreign income level, the lowest is the export price. The impact of regional output capacity on export supply is far greater than the export price; the regional price level has the greatest import impact, followed by the import price. Relatively speaking, the impact of regional income is minimal and can be neglected basically. Non-price factors such as the import and export trade of Jiangsu Province meeting the conditions of Picankel-Robinson-Mertz output and rapid growth are the appreciation of the renminbi and the trade balance The main reason for the impact.