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在世界资源价格普遍上涨和美元贬值背景下,国际油价涨势属于正常范围且对世界经济没有产生严重影响;国际石油市场供需处于紧平衡状态,石油使用用途的集中使得石油长期和短期需求价格弹性变小,两者共同作用使得国际油价对市场的变动非常敏感;高油价使得石油具有资产价值,定价模式从流量转向存量,这既减少了当期石油供给,又为投机提供了可能,推动了油价的进一步上涨。
Against the background of the general rise of world resource prices and the devaluation of the U.S. dollar, the international oil price rally is within the normal range and has no serious impact on the world economy. The supply and demand of oil in the international oil market is in a state of balance and the concentration of oil use makes the long-term and short-term price elasticity of demand Smaller, the combination of the two makes the international oil prices very sensitive to market changes; high oil prices make the oil with asset value, pricing model from the flow to the stock, which not only reduces the current oil supply, but also for the speculation may be to promote the oil price The further rise.