论文部分内容阅读
日本的地震危险性在日本,公众对地震危险性的认识水平是高的。1923年的关东地震造成约12万人死亡(当时日本总人口约为5000万);美国若发生与此相等的地震则会造成60万人死亡。如今,日本全社会对东海地震的预报都很了解。东京都政府估计,该预期的地震可能会造成3万人死亡。(许多人认为这个估计是保守的;其他日本政府机构也已作出估计,但结果尚未公布。)所预报的东海地震可能造成的死亡人数由关东地震的12万人减少到3万人,在很大程度上是因为木制建筑(房屋)的比例减少了。
Earthquake risk in Japan In Japan, the public’s awareness of the danger of earthquakes is high. About 12 million people died in the Kanto Earthquake in 1923 (Japan’s total population was about 50 million at the time); in the United States, an earthquake equivalent to this would result in 600,000 deaths. Today, Japan’s entire society is well aware of the forecast of the East China Sea earthquake. The Tokyo Metropolitan Government estimates that the expected earthquake could kill 30,000 people. (Many people think this estimate is conservative; other Japanese government agencies have also made estimates, but the results have not yet been announced.) The predicted death toll from the Tokai earthquake shrank from 120,000 to 30,000 in the Kanto Earthquake, Largely because of the reduced proportion of wooden buildings (houses).