应用集中度和圆形分布法分析蓬莱市自然疫源性传染病季节性

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目的分析蓬莱市流行性乙型脑炎(简称乙脑)、疟疾和肾综合症出血热(简称出血热)发病高峰期的集中时间,为防治工作提供科学依据。方法用圆形分布法将数据进行三角函数转换,求平均角α、角离差s,并进行假设检验和均数比较。结果蓬莱市乙脑、疟疾和出血热发病均有一定的季节性,乙脑季节性最强,疟疾次之,出血热相对最弱。乙脑高峰日是8月25日,7月6日~9月12日为其主要流行期间;疟疾高峰日是8月3日,6月6日~10月1日为其主要流行期间;出血热高峰日是4月2日,其主要流行期间跨季节性。结论在发病高峰期之前开展环境卫生整治、防蚊灭蚊、防鼠灭鼠、加强疫情监测、发现疑似病例等防制工作意义极其重大,能减少误诊和漏诊甚至重症和死亡,从而更好地保护人民群众的身体健康。 Objective To analyze the concentration time of peak incidence of Japanese encephalitis (JE), malaria and renal syndrome hemorrhagic fever (referred to as hemorrhagic fever) in Penglai city for providing scientific evidence for prevention and treatment. Methods The circular distribution method was used to transform trigonometric functions, and the average angle α and angular deviation s were calculated. The hypothesis test and mean comparison were also made. Results The incidence of Japanese encephalitis, malaria and hemorrhagic fever in Penglai City were both seasonal, with the warmest in JE and malaria followed by the weakest in hemorrhagic fever. JE peak day is August 25, July 6 to September 12 for its main epidemic period; malaria peak day is August 3, June 6 to October 1 for its main epidemic period; bleeding The hot rush day is April 2, with its seasonal cross-seasons during its major epidemic. Conclusion It is extremely important to carry out environmental sanitation control, anti-mosquito and mosquito control, anti-mosquito control and anti-rodent control before the onset of the epidemic, to strengthen the monitoring of epidemic situation and find out the suspected cases and so on, so as to reduce the misdiagnosis and missed diagnosis and even severe illness and death, Protect the health of the people.
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