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港珠澳大桥连接珠海、香港与澳门,作为特大型跨界交通基础设施项目,受经济发展及产业布局、三地交通管理政策、大桥收费标准、区域路网变化等因素的影响,其未来交通量具有较强的不确定性。分析各因素对交通量预测的影响程度,有利于全面地分析未来大桥交通量及相应的收费收入,从而为项目决策提供可靠的依据。
As a large-scale cross-border transport infrastructure project, the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge connecting Zhuhai, Hong Kong and Maucao will be affected by such factors as economic development and industrial layout, traffic management policies of the three places, bridge toll fees and changes in regional road networks. The amount has a strong uncertainty. Analysis of the impact of various factors on the traffic volume forecast will help to analyze the traffic volume of the future bridge and the corresponding toll revenue so as to provide a reliable basis for project decision-making.