Analyzing short time series data from periodically fluctuating rodent populations by threshold model

• 作 者: CHAN Kung-Sik TONG Howell STEN
• 机 构: DepartmentofStatisticsandActuarialScience,DepartmentofStatistics,CentreforEcologicalandEvolutionaryS
• 出 处: 中国科学：数学英文版
• 发表日期: 2009年6期
• 关键词: AIC continuous THRESHOLD AUTOREGRESSIVE model non-nested hypotheses partial RESI
• 基金项目: supported by US National Science Foundation (Grant No. CMG-0620789),the Research GrantsCouncil of Hong Kong (Grant No. HKU7036/068),the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Councilof UK (Grant N

The study of the rodent fluctuations of the North was initiated in its modern form with Elton’s pioneering work.Many scientific studies have been designed to collect yearly rodent abundance data,but the resulting time series are generally subject to at le