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介绍地下水污染物输移概率模型。该模型以一阶可靠度方法（FORM）和二阶可靠度方法（SORM）与地下水输移方程的二维有限元解法的耦合为基础，采用将水力传导率作为具有规定相关结构的三维随机场来模拟的方式，研究含水层介质的不确定性。FORM和SORM给出了在某一测井处污染物超
Introducing groundwater pollutant transport probability model. The model is based on the coupling of the first-order reliability method (FORM) and the second-order reliability method (SORM) with the two-dimensional finite element method of groundwater transport equation. The model uses the hydraulic conductivity as the three-dimensional random field To simulate the way to study the uncertainty of the aquifer medium. FORM and SORM give a record of superconducting pollutants