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2006年,美元经过紧缩货币政策的洗礼先后呈现上涨、震荡走势,年底美国经济的趋缓态势又将其拉入下跌走势的通道。相比而言,欧元上涨走势一直占据上风,伴随2006年底欧洲央行升息步伐加紧,欧元上涨趋势更加明朗。日本央行划时代的升息态势并未给日元走势带来新起色。2006年,日元承载更多下跌命运,不为迎合经济发展趋势的日元被严重低估。动荡的地缘局势和高涨油价、金价为外汇市场注入更多不稳定音符,瑞郎作为避险工具受到追捧,澳元、加元等商品货币被推高。跨过2006年,步入2007年,市场争论的热点并未因2006年的终结而降低热度,一种不确定因素仍掺杂在汇市中,外汇市场将面临怎样的走势格局?针对于此,我们特组织了以下几篇文章,不只是回顾,更重要的是展望,便于大家在进行明年的外汇业务探作时,及早做好防范风险的准备。
In 2006, after the tightening of the monetary policy, the dollar showed upward trend and then concussion. By the end of the year, the slowdown of the U.S. economy pulled it into the downward trend again. In contrast, the upward trend of the euro has been dominant, with the European Central Bank to raise interest rates at the end of 2006 accelerated the pace of rising euro more clear. The landmark rise in interest rates by the Bank of Japan did not bring a fresh start to the yen. In 2006, the yen carried more declines, and the yen, which is not catering to the trend of economic development, has been seriously undervalued. Turmoil geopolitical situation and rising oil prices, the price of gold into the foreign exchange market more volatile notes, the Swiss franc as a hedging tool sought after, the Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and other commodity currencies were pushed up. Into 2007, into 2007, the hot debate in the market did not reduce the heat due to the end of 2006, an uncertain factor is still mixed in the foreign exchange market, the foreign exchange market will face what kind of trend pattern? In response, We specially organized the following articles, not just retrospectively, but more importantly, the outlook so that everyone can make early preparations for risk prevention when conducting exploration of foreign exchange business next year.