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A special interpolation program GREEN has been developed to determine the climatic parameters for the distribution region of Chinese pine (Pinus tabulaeformis Carr.) based on the researches on the distribution of the tree species. The central region, which is the most suitable distribution region, and potential distribution region of the species under current climatic conditions were mapped using a Geographic Information System IDRISI. According to the averaged predictions by 5 GCMs for 2030, a projection was made for the future distribution of the pine. The results show that the potential distribution area of Chinese pine will have a small northward shift, though not significantly. The east part of the northern boundary will move northwards by 1.4 degree, while the southern boundary will move northwards about 0.2 degree in latitude. The east and west edges will both move towards the distribution center. The potential distribution region will shrink by 9.4% compared with the current area. The species wi
A special interpolation program GREEN has been developed to determine the climatic parameters for the distribution region of Chinese pine (Pinus tabulaeformis Carr.) Based on the researches on the distribution of the tree species. The central region, which is the most suitable distribution region, and potential distribution region of the species under current climatic conditions were mapped using a Geographic Information System IDRISI. According to the averaged predictions by 5 GCMs for 2030, a projection was made for the future distribution of the pine. The results show that the potential distribution area of Chinese pine will have a small northward shift, though not significantly. The east part of the northern boundary will move northwards by 1.4 degree, while the southern boundary will move northwards about 0.2 degree in latitude. The east and west edges will both move towards the distribution center. The potential distribution region will shrink by 9.4% compared with the current ar ea. The species wi