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在矿井瓦斯地质研究基础上,根据煤与瓦斯突出黏滑机理和突变理论,建立了煤与瓦斯突出黏滑失稳–突变理论预警模型.以瓦斯因素和地质因素为煤与瓦斯突出预警的控制变量,将其归类分化为相应的预警指标,提出了突出危险等级划分指标的界限,利用模糊数学推导出突变模糊隶属度函数,选择对应突变模型计算出突出警情的突变级数.以潞安环能股份有限公司余吾煤业为例对煤与瓦斯突出黏滑失稳–突变预警模型的可行性进行了验证.
Based on the gas geology research of coal mine, based on the theory of stick-slip and catastrophe of coal and gas outburst, the instable and catastrophic catastrophic-catastrophe theory warning model of coal and gas outburst was established. The gas and geological factors were used to control the coal and gas outburst warning Variable, classifying them into corresponding warning indicators, putting forward the boundaries of highlighting the index of risk classification, using the fuzzy mathematics to derive the mutation fuzzy membership function, choosing the corresponding mutation model to calculate the mutation series that highlight the police intelligence.Using Lu An Yuneng Co., Ltd. Yuwu Coal Industry as an example of coal and gas outbursts slip - instability - the feasibility of a mutation warning model was validated.