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清华大学金融系主任李稻葵表示:最近半年多以来,国际的投资者,尤其是华尔街一直在讲一个道理,那就是中国经济是当前世界经济的一个重大的风险区,甚至于是最大的风险。中国经济的信用总量加债务总量,占GDP的比重从100%上升到200%,翻一番,因此中国经济必须进入一个去杠杆化的过程,这个过程将会带来经济社会的动荡或冲击,增长速度会放缓,逻辑非常清晰,但是不对。我讲三个相反的理由。
Li Daokui, director of the finance department of Tsinghua University, said: In the past six months or more, international investors, especially Wall Street, have been telling the truth that China’s economy is a major risk area and even the biggest risk in the current world economy. The total amount of credit in China’s economy plus the total amount of debt, its share of GDP, has doubled from 100% to 200%, so China’s economy must enter into a deleveraging process that will bring about economic and social turmoil or Impact, the growth rate will slow down, the logic is very clear, but wrong. I will speak on three opposite reasons.