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汽车工业“十五”发展规划提出“重点发展8万元以下、排量1.3L以下和百公里油耗达到国内先进水平的经济型轿车。”其不妥之处有三: 一是轿车是国民经济发展到较高程度后市场才能较快的发展,我国去年的人均GDP才合800多美元,到2005年人均GDP估计在1200~1300美元之间,远没有达到轿车进入家庭人均GDP 2000~3000美元的程度。根据“十五”规划,轿车五年增长3%~4%的市场份额,其中经济型轿车的市场份额增长顶多为2%~2.7%,而排量1.3L以下的轿车顶多占到1%~1.3%,市场份额这么微小
The “Tenth Five-Year Plan” for the Development of the Automotive Industry proposes that “economic development should be focused on the development of less than 80,000 yuan, less than 1.3 liters of displacement and 100-kilometer fuel consumption to the domestic advanced level.” There are three pitfalls: First, the sedan is a national economic development At a relatively high level, the market can develop rapidly. Last year, China’s per capita GDP was just over 800 U.S. dollars. By 2005, GDP per capita was estimated to be between 1,200 and 1,300 U.S. dollars. Far less than the annual per capita GDP of cars between 2,000 and 3,000 U.S. dollars, degree. According to the “Tenth Five-year Plan”, the sedan market will grow by 3% ~ 4% in five years, of which the market share of economic sedans will increase by 2% -2.7% at the most while the sedan with the displacement of 1.3L will account for 1% % ~ 1.3%, the market share is so small