论文部分内容阅读
按照经典的“滞胀(stagflation)”定义,如果在经济增长明显下降、失业率扩大的情况下,物价却出现显著上升,则这种现象就被称为“滞胀”。滞胀被视为经济学上的癌症,没有那个经济学家能开出彻底治愈它的药方。而根据我们的预测,明年我国就有可能出现轻微的滞胀现象,或者说是出现滞胀的迹象,而中长期情形可能会更加严重,这一问题需引起有关部门的高度重视。为了减轻将来可能出现的滞胀负面影响或者干脆不让本文的悲观预言应验,政府有必要提前为抑制通货膨胀做好准备,同时加大供给政策的力度。
According to the classic “stagflation” definition, if there is a marked rise in the price of the economy with a marked decline in economic growth and an increase in the unemployment rate, this phenomenon is called “stagflation.” Stagflation is considered an economic cancer, and no economist can come up with a cure for it completely. According to our forecast, there will be slight stagflation or some signs of stagflation in our country next year, which may be more serious in the medium and long term. This issue needs to be given high priority by relevant departments. In order to mitigate the possible negative effects of stagflation in the future or to prevent the pessimistic forecast of this article from fulfilling, the government needs to be prepared in advance to curb inflation while increasing the supply policy.