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本研究通过利用全国31省1997～2005年的农民收入、生产要素以及林业重点工程进展的面板数据分析得出:从全国来看,退耕还林工程、京津风沙源治理工程和防护林工程对农民收入是有拉动作用的,而天保工程与速生丰产林工程对农民收入有负面影响,对东部、中部和西部的影响又各不相同。建议调整林业重点工程实施的相关政策,采取区域差异性政策。
Through the analysis of the panel data of farmer’s income, production factors and the progress of forestry key projects from 1997 to 2005 in 31 provinces in China, this study draws the conclusion that from the national perspective, the project of returning farmland to forestry, Beijing-Tianjin sandstorm source control project and shelter- Income has a pulling effect, and the natural forest protection project and the fast-growing and high-yield forest project have a negative impact on peasants’ income, but have different impacts on the eastern, central and western regions. Proposed to adjust the implementation of key forestry projects related policies, to adopt regional differences in policies.