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就像过去十年,“中国制造”改变了世界一样,在未来十年,“中国消费”将深刻地影响世界与中国的经济格局。中国消费市场会有多大?根据我们的估算,至2020年,居民消费率将上升6个百分点,政府消费率上升3个百分点。201l一2020年消费平均增长13%,比2000—2010年上升1个百分点。在总体经济增速显著下降的背景下,消费增长提速将使中国拥有世界第二大消费市场,世界第一大社会零售总额。
Just as “Made in China” has changed the world in the past decade, “China’s consumption” will profoundly affect the economic structure of the world and China over the next decade. According to our estimation, by 2020, the consumer spending rate will increase by 6% and the government consumption rate by 3%. In 2020-2011, the average consumption increased by 13%, up 1% over 2000-2010. Against the backdrop of a marked decline in the overall economic growth rate, the acceleration of consumption growth will enable China to have the second largest consumer market in the world and the largest retail total in the world.