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从农业碳排放的来源入手,建立一个产业集聚影响农业碳排放的分析框架。建立面板数据模型,实证分析农业产业集聚对农业碳排放的影响。结果表明:其一,随着农业产业集聚程度的增加,碳排放总量出现先增后减的“倒U型”特征,碳排放强度则会出现先增后减再增的“正N型”特征;其二,农业经济发展虽然会导致整体碳排放水平的增加,但有利于碳排放强度的降低;其三,环境规制水平会显著降低碳排放总量和强度;其四,种植业比重增加会增加地区碳排放总量,但有利于降低碳排放强度。因此,建议从产业适度集聚、农业产业结构调整、提升环境规制水平等方面促进农业生产减排。
Starting from the sources of agricultural carbon emissions, establish an analytical framework for industrial agglomeration that affects agricultural carbon emissions. The establishment of panel data model, empirical analysis of agricultural agglomeration on agricultural carbon emissions. The results show as follows: First, with the increase of agricultural industrial agglomeration, the total carbon emission increases first and then decreases, and the carbon emission intensity increases first and then decreases and then increases Second, although agricultural economic development will lead to an increase in the overall level of carbon emissions, but will help reduce the intensity of carbon emissions; Third, the level of environmental regulation will significantly reduce the total carbon emissions and intensity; Fourth, Increasing the proportion of farming will increase the total amount of carbon emissions in the region, but it will help reduce the intensity of carbon emissions. Therefore, it is suggested that agricultural production should be promoted in terms of proper industrial agglomeration, adjustment of agricultural industrial structure and improvement of environmental regulation.