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基于中国省际面板数据,运用动态面板模型系统GMM方法,实证检验加工贸易对第二产业及工业就业的影响。研究表明,加工贸易出口对就业具有正向促进作用,加工贸易进口对就业具有负向挤出效应;随着国内企业技术水平的提升和加工贸易的转型升级,前者的就业吸纳能力和后者的就业排斥效应均趋向衰减。
Based on China’s provincial panel data, the dynamic panel model GMM method is used to empirically test the impact of processing trade on secondary industry and industrial employment. The research shows that the export of processing trade has a positive effect on employment and the import of processing trade has a negative crowding-out effect on employment. With the improvement of the technological level of domestic enterprises and the transformation and upgrading of processing trade, the employment absorption capacity of the former and that of the latter Employment exclusion effect tends to decline.