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研究了部分经济指标与贸易差额之间的非线性关系,该非线性模型采用随机森林回归模型,同时,得出了各个指标的影响因子.实验结果表明:我国的贸易差额主要受到M2,GDP,CPI,外汇储备,M1和工业总产值的影响,研究可供政府决策参考.
The non-linear relationship between some economic indicators and trade balance is studied, and the non-linear model adopts the stochastic forest regression model, at the same time, the influence factors of each index are obtained.The experimental results show that the trade balance in our country is mainly affected by M2, GDP, CPI, foreign exchange reserves, M1 and the impact of gross industrial output, the study for government decision-making reference.