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基于我国经济发展已进入重化工工业时代,“九五”时期经济增长速度安排10%比较合理整个八十年代,我国的经济增长是以消费需求主导的轻工产业为主的增长方式,年平均增长速度为8.9%左右。79—84年主要是解决农业问题,84年以后,恩格尔系数发生拐点性的变化,开始向下落,这时居民对家用电器的需求增长很快,这些都是在消费需求带动下发生的。89年国家开始治理整顿,三年宏观紧缩之后出现市场疲软,其实这是国家经济转型的信号。从老牌工业国家经济发展的经验来反观我国这一时期的经济表明,人民消费正从前一代的消费品转向住宅、汽车等新型消费,这些消费需要的储蓄时间很长,相应地居民储蓄开始出现显著增加而购买减少的局面。储蓄率的升高使银行开始出现存差,存差每年都为几千亿元,95年为6000亿元。这些情况导
Based on the fact that China’s economic development has entered the era of heavy chemical industry, the rate of economic growth in the “Ninth Five-Year Plan” is 10% more reasonable. Throughout the 1980s, China’s economic growth was based on the light industry driven by consumer demand. The average annual growth rate of about 8.9%. 79-84 mainly focused on agricultural issues. After 84 years, the turning point of the Engel’s coefficient changed and started to decline. At that time, the demand for household appliances increased rapidly. These were driven by consumer demand. In 89 years, the state started to rectify the situation. After three years of macro-economic tightening, the market weakened. In fact, this is the signal of the country’s economic restructuring. Reflecting on the experience of economic development in the established industrialized countries, the economy in this period of our country shows that the people’s consumption is shifting from the previous generation of consumer goods to new types of consumption such as housing and automobiles. These savings require a long period of savings and a corresponding increase in household savings The purchase of reduced situation. The rising savings rate has caused the banks to start to have a deposit-taking system with annual deposit balances of several hundred billion yuan and 600 billion yuan in 1995. These situations lead