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2009年11月沪胶演绎了淋漓的上涨行情,一方面是补涨的需求,另一方面则是短线资金行为所致。进入12月,迪拜危机短期还将对金融市场形成一定压制。国内天然橡胶库存仍然存在隐忧。天然橡胶和合成橡胶的巨大价差将拖累天然橡胶的涨势。日本股市的持续下行及日元汇率的持续升值也对日胶走势不利。综合来看,12月的沪胶市场难以延续11月的强劲势头,预计有回调整理的需求,不过总体呈宽幅震荡的格局,价格波动区间或在20000～22000元之间。
November 2009 Hujiao interpretation of the dripping up the market, on the one hand is compensatory growth demand, on the other hand is due to short-term financial behavior. Into December, the crisis in Dubai will also short-term financial markets formed a certain suppression. Domestic natural rubber stocks are still hidden worries. The huge spread of natural rubber and synthetic rubber will drag the rise of natural rubber. The continued decline of the Japanese stock market and the continued appreciation of the yen exchange rate also adversely affected the plastic. Taken together, in December the Hujiao market is difficult to continue the strong momentum in November is expected to call back the demand for finishing, but the overall pattern was wide and volatile, the price range between 20000 ~ 22000 yuan.