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目的分析中国新涂阳肺结核病人发现趋势。方法通过综合比较2003~2006年全国肺结核病人登记资料并结合1995~1999年13个卫V项目省登记资料,分析病人发现趋势,并探讨其影响因素。结果2003~2006年我国新涂阳病人发现呈递增趋势,对病人登记资料进行曲线拟合后的方程为y=7 558.9x+46 969,即病人发现平均每季度增加7 559例。结论现代结核病控制策略(DOTS)覆盖的扩展及DOTS质量的提高、综合医院转诊的加强,使得新涂阳肺结核病人发现呈递增趋势。
Objective To analyze the trend of new smear positive pulmonary tuberculosis patients in China. Methods By comprehensive comparison of national tuberculosis registration data from 2003 to 2006 and the registration data of 13 Wei V project provinces from 1995 to 1999, the trend of patient discovery was analyzed and its influencing factors were discussed. Results The number of new smear positive patients in our country increased from 2003 to 2006, and the curve fitted to patient registration data was y = 7 558.9x + 46 969, that is to say, the patients found an average of 7 559 cases per quarter. Conclusion The extension of modern TB control strategy (DOTS) coverage and the improvement of DOTS quality and the enhancement of general hospital referral result in an increasing trend of new smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis patients.