【摘 要】
：
建立了基于不同预期的两强竞争市场的生产动态调整模型,其中一家企业是有限理性决策,另一家企业是适应性预期.首先分析了它的演化混沌机理,然后以累积利润为指标对系统混沌
【机 构】
：
南京大学管理科学与工程研究院,南京大学管理科学与工程研究院,南京大学管理科学与工程研究院 江苏南京210093 ,江苏南京210093 ,江苏南京210093
论文部分内容阅读
建立了基于不同预期的两强竞争市场的生产动态调整模型,其中一家企业是有限理性决策,另一家企业是适应性预期.首先分析了它的演化混沌机理,然后以累积利润为指标对系统混沌进行了评价.研究表明,在这样的市场结构中,采用适应性预期的企业在竞争中较为有利.最后,运用不同的混沌控制方法实现了对系统不稳定不动点、不稳定2P轨道的稳定控制,有效地改善了系统的性态,讨论了企业在实施目标定向的逐步纠偏过程中所实现的多周期轨道控制.
Established a dynamic adjustment model of production in two competing markets based on different expectations, in which one firm is bounded rationally and the other one is adaptive expectation.Firstly, it analyzes its evolution chaos mechanism, and then uses the cumulative profit as an index to analyze the chaos of the system The results show that, in such a market structure, the enterprises that adopt adaptive expectation are more competitive in the market.Finally, using different chaos control methods to stabilize the unstable 2P orbits of the system, Control, and effectively improve the system’s performance, discussed the multi-period orbit control achieved by enterprises in the process of implementing the goal-oriented gradual correction.
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