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文章从消费者行为出发,以生命周期假说为分析前提,研究消费者在老龄化的过程中如何积累财富,并对这些消费者行为加总进一步研究社会财富的积累,分析财富增加和劳动力数量下降这一特征事实下的经济增长路径。在理论研究和经验分析的基础上,作者认为判断人口老龄化是否对经济增长造成影响,不能仅从劳动力供给数量上分析,应综合考虑资本、劳动力等因素的变化。通过研究,本文得出的结论是人口老龄化未必使经济增长速度放缓。
Based on the analysis of the consumer hypothesis and life cycle hypothesis, the article studies how consumers accumulate wealth in the process of aging and sum up these consumer behaviors to further study the accumulation of social wealth. It analyzes the increase of wealth and the decline of labor force This feature is the fact that economic growth path. On the basis of theoretical research and empirical analysis, the author believes that judging whether population aging affects economic growth can not be analyzed solely from the amount of labor supply, and should take into account changes in capital and labor force. Through the research, this article concludes that the aging of the population may not slow down the economic growth.