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在经济全球化和区域经济一体化的背景下,中国-东盟自由贸易区的全面启动将对世界经济格局产生深远的影响.但在实施自由化贸易的过程中,当事双方的共同利益和本位利益既有协同也有冲突.因此,尝试从博弈论的角度来分析中国-东盟贸易自由化的利益机制和推动贸易自由化的条件.通过对双方的利益博弈分析,指出贸易双方应该逐步看淡本位利益,为推动贸易自由化进程而应更多地考虑共同利益和长远利益;其次,双方在制定贸易政策和进行谈判时,虽然不能忽略本位利益,但只有通过满足他方的利益才能使本位利益得到实现;因此,满足贸易双方“利己”和“利他”的唯一均衡解就是同步实施关税减让.在整个博弈过程中,中国作为一个负责任的大国,可以通过首先放弃部分局部利益来换取东盟各国的信任,从而确立中国在贸易战略中的市场领导者地位.这正是确保区域贸易自由化实现的基本要件.
Under the background of economic globalization and regional economic integration, the full launch of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area will have a profound impact on the world economic structure, but in the process of liberalizing trade, the common interests and standards of both parties Therefore, trying to analyze the interest mechanism of China-ASEAN trade liberalization and the conditions for promoting trade liberalization from the perspective of game theory.By analyzing the interests of both parties, it is pointed out that both parties should gradually take a look at their own interests , More common interests and long-term interests should be considered in order to promote the process of trade liberalization. Second, while formulating trade policies and conducting negotiations, the two sides can not neglect their own interests but can only realize their own interests by satisfying the interests of other parties Therefore, the only equilibrium solution that satisfies the “self-interest” and “altruism” of both trade parties is to implement the tariff concession synchronously.In the course of the whole game, China, as a responsible big country, can give up some partial benefits to ASEAN countries Trust in order to establish China’s market leadership position in the trade strategy The basic elements of regional trade liberalization to achieve.