论文部分内容阅读
采用因素分解法,结合计量分析方法与因素分析方法,选取2004、2008和2012年三个时间点的数据,定量测算我国主要工业行业出口贸易通过规模、结构和技术三种效应对碳排放的影响。研究结果表明,在第一个计算期内,出口贸易对碳排放影响的规模效应为正,结构效应为正,技术效应为负,在第二个计算期内,出口贸易对碳排放影响的规模效应为负,结构效应为负,技术效应为负,并据此提出了促进我国经济与资源、环境相协调发展的对策建议。
Using the factorization method and the methods of econometric analysis and factor analysis, the data of three time points in 2004, 2008 and 2012 were selected to quantitatively estimate the impact of the three major effects of the scale, structure and technology of export trade on carbon emissions of China’s major industrial sectors . The results show that in the first calculation period, the scale effect of export trade on carbon emissions is positive, the structural effect is positive and the technical effect is negative. In the second calculation period, the scale of the impact of export trade on carbon emissions The effect is negative, the structural effect is negative, and the technical effect is negative. Based on this, suggestions are put forward to promote the coordinated development of economy, resources and environment in China.