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能源不仅是国家经济建设的基础,更涉及到国家经济安全。国家间参与世界能源再分配的主要方式是能源商品贸易。根据中国1980~2012年的相关数据,运用协整、误差修正模型、格兰杰因果关系检验的计量经济方法,对中国能源商品贸易与经济增长关系进行的实证分析表明,中国能源进、出口均与经济增长呈同向变动关系,中国经济的发展会扩大能源进、出口的规模,而能源进、出口对中国经济发展的贡献却不明显。
Energy is not only the basis of national economic construction, but also the national economic security. The main way for countries to participate in world energy redistribution is energy and commodity trade. According to the data from 1980 to 2012 in China, using the econometrics method of cointegration, error correction model and Granger causality test, an empirical analysis of the relationship between China’s energy commodity trade and economic growth shows that both China’s energy import and export In the same direction as economic growth, the development of China’s economy will expand the scale of energy imports and exports. However, the contribution of energy imports and exports to China’s economic development is not obvious.