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文章基于2009年陕西省三县区的调查数据,采用多元线性回归方法对性别失衡治理政策、乡土文化圈和男孩偏好三者之间的关系进行了分析,发现现阶段人们的男孩偏好是性别失衡治理政策的弱化作用和乡土文化圈的强化作用相互博弈的结果,性别失衡治理政策通过宣传倡导政策的深入推行能够改善乡土文化圈,弱化男孩偏好,达到真正持久降低出生人口性别比的目标。
Based on the survey data of the three counties in Shaanxi Province in 2009, the article analyzed the relationship between the policy of gender imbalance control, the local culture circle and the preference of boys by using the multiple linear regression method and found that boys’ preferences at this stage are gender imbalance The weakening effect of governance policy and the reinforcing effect of local cultural circle are the result of mutual game. The policy of gender imbalance governance can promote the local cultural circle and weaken the preference of boys through the promotion of propaganda and advocacy policy, so as to achieve the goal of truly and permanently reducing the sex ratio at birth.