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本文通过丽江市1990年到2012年旅游业的相关数据对丽江旅游收入的现状进行描述性统计分析,并用确定性时间序列分析方法建立了幂指曲线模型进而对丽江旅游总收入进行分析,认为丽江市旅游收入呈幂指曲线增长。丽江是一个以发展旅游业为主的城市,其旅游收入在丽江市国内生产总值中占有很大的比重,在2003、2004、2005年分别占了58.70%、65.80%、72.13%。本文利用丽江市2003年、2004年、2005年统计年鉴的相关数据以及丽江市统计局提供的
Based on the data of tourism in Lijiang City from 1990 to 2012, this paper makes a descriptive statistical analysis on the current situation of tourism income in Lijiang, and establishes the power index curve model by deterministic time series analysis and analyzes the total tourism income in Lijiang. City tourism revenue showed a power curve growth. Lijiang is a city dominated by tourism development. Its tourism revenue accounts for a large proportion of the GDP of Lijiang City, accounting for 58.70%, 65.80% and 72.13% respectively in 2003, 2004 and 2005. This article makes use of the data of Statistical Yearbook of Lijiang City in 2003, 2004 and 2005 and the data provided by Statistical Bureau of Lijiang City