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编制区域卫生发展规划,合理设置医院各科室床位比例,有效地利用卫生资源,满足人民医疗保健需求.需要了解今后若干年住院病人病因构成情况.确定疾病防治重点也需要这方面的信息.我们根据1989~1994年山东省县医院住院病人疾病分类年报(ICD—9)资料,应用平滑法预测模型对县医院住院病人病因构成进行预测,现报告如下:1 预测步骤1.1 利用全省县医院住院病人疾病分类年报数据,分别计算出各年住院病人某病因构成.某年某病因构成二某年某病出院病人数÷该年出院病人总数×100%1.2 分病因列平滑计算表.现以损伤和中毒为例.
The preparation of regional health development planning, reasonable set the proportion of beds in various departments of the hospital, the effective use of health resources to meet the needs of people’s health care need to understand the composition of the etiology of inpatients in the next few years to determine the focus of disease prevention and control also need this information we based 1989 ~ 1994 Shandong Province County Hospital inpatient disease classification annual report (ICD-9) data, the application of smoothing prediction model for the county hospital inpatient etiology constitute the prediction, are as follows: 1 prediction steps 1.1 The use of the province’s county hospital inpatients Disease classification annual report data were calculated for each year inpatient cause of a certain cause of a certain cause of a certain year the number of discharged patients a disease ÷ total number of discharged patients in the year × 100% For example.